Chance of Crafting Success

[PurpleTimb]

Disclaimer: The below is my personal experience and may not be typical, but I'm posting to ask if others have seen the same.

Crafting recipes appear to occationally get "stuck" on a failed result. On one occation I had a 80% chance of success shard fail 8 times in a row. On another, a 75% chance craft failed 5 times in a row. While I could be just increadibly unlucky, the odds of 80% failing 8 times are approx 1/400,000. I believe I've seen the converse as well, but it doesn't stand out as much because of the rising chance of success after each successful craft.

It would go a long way to fixing player confidence if the log or a dice roll would show the d100% roll for crafting success/failure when you attempt a craft. That wouldn't prevent errors from problems in the random number generator code, but would at least make players feel like we understand what's happening when we happen to make several bad rolls back to back.

I did submit a bug report with the above information, but as the players get no visibility of what's happening in the log, I'm not sure how something like this can be addressed.

So I'm mostly just posting this to ask if anyone else has seen crafting recipes seem to fail far more or less often than they should?

[Rumbaar]

I've tried a 50% chance shard and failed first time and succeeded the second time. I guess with random rolls, it's random ... well unless you work for Sony and then it's a little less random

[EllisDee37]

So I'm mostly just posting this to ask if anyone else seen crafting recipes seem to fail far more or less often than they should?

I have, yes. Someone posted on the forums that bad rolls can get "stuck" if you reroll too quickly, so now after a failed attempt I'll wait until the "you failed!" message disappears. On a really expensive recipe I'll close and re-open the machine before trying again.

[Lithic]

I have, yes. Someone posted on the forums that bad rolls can get "stuck" if you reroll too quickly, so now after a failed attempt I'll wait until the "you failed!" message disappears. On a really expensive recipe I'll close and re-open the machine before trying again.

I've started doing this as well. Seems to help. When you lose 40 greaters on a failed recipe, you can't afford to get stuck on a fail streak heh.