Middle of the week, right after a downtime. Not even past dinner time in NA. Lets take a look in a week from now and see how it goes.
I predict - that a rather significant number of end game players will transfer - but an insignificant number of "casuals" will. In particular I predict that the PUG raid and R8+ quest scene will suffer.
But only time will tell.
Eh you're right.
Also interesting is the number of people currently online on each server.