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  1. #1
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    Mar 2014
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    Default Anniversary Cards - Offers and Needs + Card Rating (Evaluation of the probabilities)

    Hello Cardhunters,
    to calculte the probabilities I've looked at all the cards we found.
    Here are the updated Results for over 400 rolls:

    Card 1: 12,2 %
    Card 2: 12,0 %
    Card 3: 11,7 %
    Card 4: 10,7 %
    Card 5: 11,5 %
    Card 6: 13,0 %
    Card 7: 12,2 %
    Card 8: 16,0 %
    Card 9: 0,50 %
    Card 10: 0,25 %

    Cause card 9 and 10 seem to be extremely rare, there values are probably not correct, but give a good hint!!!
    By all other informations I got I would say Card IX and X have both a chance 1%.

    Greetings
    Tinera
    Last edited by Tinera; 03-24-2014 at 05:23 PM. Reason: last update

  2. #2
    Community Member
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    Mar 2014
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    Default update 3

    if you rolled a 9 or 10, please pm me even if you don't want to trade - just to get an overview

  3. #3
    Community Member
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    Oct 2009
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    440

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Tinera View Post
    if you rolled a 9 or 10, please pm me even if you don't want to trade - just to get an overview
    If people with a 9 or 10 are more likely to pm you, won't that skew your results?
    My toon: Agthorr on Khyber

  4. #4
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    Mar 2014
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    Default

    Hi Snarglefrump,
    thats a good point.

    By now you're the first who answers and absolutely nobody sended a pm. So all the results are based on rolls of friends.
    They won't be affected if someone tells me, that he found a 9 or 10.

    It would be just another information and would give some hope if somybody answers, keeping in mind how many people read the thread since I posted this comment.

    So thanks, for a signs of life

  5. #5
    Pirate Hero
    2015 DDO Players Council
    RedOrm's Avatar
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    Jun 2010
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    Default

    Hubby, daughter and me all have a vip account, toons on all servers, and have been rolling daily since the start. We've traded the cards on all servers except Khyber away in return for cards on Khyber,so no keeping track of what we rolled, but I CAN tell you that between all 8x3= 24 toons, we have yet to get a single 9 or 10. The numbers 1-8 seem to be fairly evenly distributed (got way too many 7s on Khyber, but that's more because I don't need them much :P ).

    Greetz,
    Red Orm

  6. #6
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    Mar 2014
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    Default

    thanks for the answers from RedOrm, JonD and marinerfan

  7. #7
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    Mar 2014
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    Default Still looking for Cards I

    update 6

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