View Full Version : Anniversary Card Collection Stats
Well, it seems the Birthday Event is over, no more rolling cards :(
Anyway, I like stats, so I thought I would post my results here, just because. Rolled on 2 Premium accounts.
Card Total Percent
I 56 12,93%
II 68 15,70%
III 39 9,01%
IV 58 13,39%
V 45 10,39%
VI 46 10,62%
VII 49 11,32%
VIII 69 15,94%
IX 1 0,23%
X 2 0,46%
Total 433
Earthbound Misfit
04-07-2014, 07:33 AM
no idea how many of each number I got, except 9 and 10.
however, I rolled 814 cards across all servers and received 272 from cross server trades and saw 1 card 9 and 2 card 10. neither of these on my main server, which is ok as I guess I only had a slightly better than 1 in 8 chance of getting them there.
Svartelric
04-07-2014, 07:41 AM
I'd say my stats are fairly similar to yours, except for cards IX and X, which I found in a different proportion (3 cards IX, 1 card X).
moomooprincess
04-07-2014, 07:46 AM
My percentages for IX and X are much, much lower.
Yours are close to 1% at 0.69%.
Rare Card Percentages to Obtain
FAQ = 0.69%
Frogger1234 = 0.51%
MindCakes = 0.38%
ComfortablyNumb = 0.37%
Moomooprincess = 0.36%
RedOrm = 0.13% (rough guess)
elraido = 0.00%
Seikojin = 0.00%
Uska = 0.00%
EDIT: My percentage on IX and X was higher than I thought.
If RedOrm had his numbers he would have even lower odds than me. Taking a wild rough guess he was around 1 in 800 or 0.13%.
My percentages for IX and X are much, much lower.
Yours are close to 1% at 0.69%.
When the servers come back up I will total mine, I am guessing I am going to be close to 0.25%.
Yeah, I guess they are lower than what I have seen. I only had 433 observations, so cards IX and X, having such low chances, are hard to estimate.
RedOrm
04-07-2014, 07:54 AM
3 vip accounts, 8 worlds, and daily rolls resulted in a single number 10 card. I traded for the others, both on-server and cross-server. I have no complaints however, and am looking forward to the next time they turn it on :)
Greetz,
Red Orm
Frogger1234
04-07-2014, 08:00 AM
Here are the final results of my Anniversary d20 rolls. I already had level 4 or above characters on all servers from favor runs long ago. (I probably would not have created level 4 characters just for this event.) 73 cards per Server, total of 584 cards.
Card I Card II Card III Card IV Card V Card VI Card VII Card VIII Card IX Card X Argonnessen 10 7 9 17 7 11 7 5 Cannith 11 8 10 12 13 4 8 6 1 Ghallanda 12 10 13 6 5 11 10 5 1 Khyber 8 8 12 12 10 7 11 5 Orien 7 6 13 7 8 13 9 9 1 Sarlona 2 8 11 10 8 15 15 4 Wayfinder 10 5 6 6 13 10 10 13 Total Cards 70 66 80 79 73 78 79 56 2 1 Percentages 12.0 11.3 13.7 13.5 12.5 13.4 13.5 9.6 0.3 0.2Looks like Cards I to VIII were equally likely, and Cards IX and X were about a 1 in 500 chance (or lower). Variation in Cards IX and X between people is because the chance is so low compared to the number of cards drawn.
Here are the final results of my Anniversary d20 rolls. I already had level 4 or above characters on all servers from favor runs long ago. (I probably would not have created level 4 characters just for this event.) 73 cards per Server, total of 584 cards.
Card I Card II Card III Card IV Card V Card VI Card VII Card VIII Card IX Card X Argonnessen 10 7 9 17 7 11 7 5 Cannith 11 8 10 12 13 4 8 6 1 Ghallanda 12 10 13 6 5 11 10 5 1 Khyber 8 8 12 12 10 7 11 5 Orien 7 6 13 7 8 13 9 9 1 Sarlona 2 8 11 10 8 15 15 4 Wayfinder 10 5 6 6 13 10 10 13 Total Cards 70 66 80 79 73 78 79 56 2 1 Percentages 12.0 11.3 13.7 13.5 12.5 13.4 13.5 9.6 0.3 0.2Looks like Cards I to VIII were equally likely, and Cards IX and X were about a 1 in 500 chance (or lower). Variation in Cards IX and X between people is because the chance is so low compared to the number of cards drawn.
Wow, nice job on the table. I'm always so lazy to put stuff into tables on the forums... :)
Frogger1234
04-07-2014, 08:35 AM
Wow, nice job on the table. I'm always so lazy to put stuff into tables on the forums... :)I'm lazy too. I didn't really do a lot of work formatting that table. I found that if you reply with quote you can grab all of someone else's formatting, use a text editor to make changes, and copy everything back into the Forums. The real formatting credit goes to DrawingGuy (https://www.ddo.com/forums/showthread.php/438508-Cross-Server-Card-Trade-(All-servers-for-cards-on-Thelanis)), since I copied his table formatting to use as a template. And for some reason his table formatting is a lot cleaner and more "editable" than mine in the "reply with quote" box.
I'm lazy too. I didn't really do a lot of work formatting that table. I found that if you reply with quote you can grab all of someone else's formatting, use a text editor to make changes, and copy everything back into the Forums. The real formatting credit goes to DrawingGuy (https://www.ddo.com/forums/showthread.php/438508-Cross-Server-Card-Trade-(All-servers-for-cards-on-Thelanis)), since I copied his table formatting to use as a template.
Cool, thanks for the tip. I'll try that next time.
moomooprincess
04-07-2014, 03:02 PM
According to my Data, FAQ beat the odds.
My data is not perfect. I did burn some cards for +3 Ability tomes and +3 Skill tomes and I don't remember what characters, what server, or how many. If Turbine does this next year, I will be more prepared as this was the trial run.
I will just list percentages as that will reflect more closely than quantity. I know I burned more 1s and 8s than any other cards before I kept track.
Card I = 11.35%
Card II = 12.33%
Card III = 10.87%
Card IV = 13.78%
Card V = 12.14%
Card VI = 14.88%
Card VII = 13.11%
Card VIII = 11.17%
Card IX = 0.18%
Card X = 0.18%
My Total for getting either the IX or X = 0.36%, 1 in 275 cards
My odds of getting a IX = 1 in 550 cards
My odds for getting a X = 1 in 550 cards
I had been posting since March 17 or so that I thought the odds were 1 in 500
001-996 = Card 1 thru Card VIII
997-998 = Card IX
999-1000 = Card X
MindCakes
04-07-2014, 03:07 PM
Here's some of my numbers.
total Total Percentage
I 161 12.11%
II 182 13.68%
III 146 10.98%
IV 192 14.44%
V 164 12.33%
VI 157 11.80%
VII 149 11.20%
VIII 174 13.08%
IX 4 0.30%
X 1 0.08%
1330
Roughly 60% from a bunch of alt accounts on Khyber, the rest from two main accounts on all servers and another alt here or there.
I probably got ridiculously lucky, considering my actual main-main account rolled 2 IX a week apart, on one server...
elraido
04-07-2014, 03:08 PM
My results
10 bajillion 1-8
0 9-10.
Wow by the looks of it looks like I got really lucky getting 3 cards in 433.
Seikojin
04-07-2014, 04:47 PM
I will share my exact details later, but got 0 9 or 10's on any server, doing a single vip account.
I don't know how many cards I got but I had two accounts one VIP and one premium and did every roll and never got a single 9 or 10
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